Alan Shearer and Ally McCoist were among those who backed Aston Villa to come out on top against Nottingham Forest, but the prediction proved costly after Forest produced a stunning late victory at Villa Park.
Aston Villa entered the Premier League clash desperate for their first league win of the season. Unai Emery’s side had endured a difficult opening to the campaign, while Forest were also searching for their first victory.
Villa’s midweek Champions League victory over Club Brugge appeared to provide a much-needed confidence boost, and that was one of the reasons why several pundits expected the home side to finally get their league campaign moving.
McCoist was particularly confident in Villa’s chances, backing them as part of his weekend selections. The former Rangers striker’s prediction reflected the belief that Villa’s home advantage and European momentum would be enough to overcome Forest.
Shearer was also among those who expected Villa to deliver, making the eventual result even more surprising.
However, one pundit saw the possibility of a Forest upset before kick-off. Despite Villa’s reputation and their strong historical home record against Forest, the warning signs were there.
Forest had already shown signs of resilience in their opening matches, including a draw against Liverpool, while Villa had struggled badly in front of goal during the opening weeks of the campaign.
The match ultimately proved that concerns over Villa were justified.
Forest stunned the home crowd by taking the lead through Liam Delap before Villa eventually found an equaliser through substitute Alysson.
With the match seemingly heading towards a draw, Forest struck again late in the contest.
Igor Jesus produced the decisive moment in the closing stages, finishing a move involving Morgan Gibbs-White and Daniel Muñoz to give Forest a dramatic 2-1 victory.
The result was particularly painful for Villa because they appeared to have rescued a point after Alysson’s equaliser.
Their problems became even greater after Ian Maatsen suffered an injury and Villa were unable to make another substitution. John McGinn was forced to cover at left-back, leaving the hosts vulnerable in the final stages.
Forest exploited that weakness and found the winning goal, completing a memorable away victory.
The defeat leaves Emery facing increasing questions after Villa’s difficult start to the Premier League campaign. The club remain without a league victory, while their attacking struggles have become a major concern.
Forest, meanwhile, can celebrate a hugely important victory under Oliver Glasner.
The result also gives the pundit who backed Forest an opportunity to point out that Villa’s difficult start should not have been overlooked simply because of their Champions League victory.
Shearer and McCoist may have expected Villa to make home advantage count, but Forest had other plans.
Ultimately, the result demonstrated once again why Premier League predictions can be so difficult. Villa had the home crowd, European momentum and plenty of individual quality, yet Forest showed greater efficiency when the decisive moments arrived.
For Emery, however, the shock defeat means the pressure will only increase ahead of Villa’s next league fixture.