Supercomputer predicts Tottenham’s new chances of relegation after Brighton draw
Tottenham Hotspur’s chances of avoiding relegation remain dangerously uncertain, and new forecasts have only deepened the concern following their most recent outcome.

The club’s winless streak in 2026 has now stretched to 15 matches after a 2-2 draw against Brighton. Spurs came agonizingly close to breaking the drought, having led 2-1 deep into stoppage time, only to lose focus defensively and concede a last-gasp equalizer that left their home crowd deflated.
New manager Roberto De Zerbi is still waiting for his first victory since taking over, though there are noticeable improvements—most notably ending a two-game goal drought against Brighton.
Tottenham supercomputer prediction after Brighton draw
Saturday’s draw means the relegation battle remains tense for Spurs. If Crystal Palace win on Monday, Tottenham could fall four points behind 17th place. With only five matches remaining, closing such a gap would be a tall order, and Spurs will likely need results elsewhere to go their way.

According to Opta’s supercomputer, Tottenham still have the highest probability of being relegated to the Championship, despite the draw. De Zerbi’s side now faces a 54.22% chance of going down—worse than their odds of staying up.
Spurs must build momentum despite bleak outlook

The odds are stacked against Tottenham, but they have no choice but to keep fighting. The draw against Brighton—who had won three straight before this match—could boost confidence, provided Spurs build on that performance.
Rivals are improving their survival prospects, and the supercomputer favors them to stay up. West Ham are given a 36.36% relegation chance, Nottingham Forest 9.05%, while Leeds United are nearly safe at just 0.39%.